BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 224 Conference: Big Sky Record: (6-13) Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength = 19.40
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away L 20.53 55 73 1 30 ( 19- 11) Michigan St 1.02 -19.02
2 11-10-2022 Away L 19.71 68 84 1 58 ( 20- 11) Arizona St 0.20 -16.20
3 11-12-2022 Away L 30.43 69 73 1 73 ( 24- 7) Utah Valley 10.92 -14.92
4 11-15-2022 Home W 22.80 105 49 ZZ 277 ( 0- 2) Benedictine AZ 3.29 * 52.71
5 11-18-2022 Home W 31.36 63 54 1 112 ( 24- 7) UC Santa Barbara 11.85 -2.85
6 11-21-2022 Neutral L 16.11 48 73 1 9 ( 23- 8) Texas -3.40 -21.60
7 11-22-2022 Away L 9.23 79 91 1 247 ( 15- 16) UTRGV -10.28 -1.72
8 11-27-2022 Home L 7.65 82 92 1 186 ( 13- 16) Abilene Chr -11.86 1.86
9 11-29-2022 Home W 19.51 82 51 ZZ 133 ( 0- 1) Ottawa AZ -0.00 * 31.00
10 12-03-2022 Away L 6.29 69 88 1 172 ( 9- 22) Pepperdine -13.22 -5.78
11 12-06-2022 Away W 29.10 73 69 1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific 9.60 -5.60
12 12-10-2022 Home L 22.68 75 80 1 1 73 ( 24- 7) Utah Valley 3.17 -8.17
13 12-17-2022 Away L 26.80 101 106 1 1 95 ( 20- 11) Southern Utah 7.29 -12.29
14 12-29-2022 Away L * -4.40 53 79 1 244 ( 11- 20) Idaho St -23.91 -2.09
15 12-31-2022 Away L * 8.41 60 76 1 198 ( 17- 14) Weber St -11.09 -4.91
16 01-05-2023 Home W * 20.95 75 74 1 1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana 1.44 -0.44
17 01-07-2023 Home L * 7.94 54 69 1 115 ( 22- 9) Montana St -11.57 -3.43
18 01-12-2023 Away L * 20.79 74 75 1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St 1.28 -2.28
19 01-14-2023 Away L * 20.10 56 59 1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento 0.60 -3.60
20 01-19-2023 Home L * 6.99 83 88 1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho -12.52 7.52
21 01-21-2023 Home L * 18.69 76 79 1 126 ( 22- 9) E Washington -0.82 -2.18
22 01-28-2023 Home W * 25.51 83 73 1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado 6.00 4.00
23 02-02-2023 Away L * 28.69 68 69 1 115 ( 22- 9) Montana St 9.18 -10.18
24 02-04-2023 Away L * 25.70 66 67 1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana 6.19 -7.19
25 02-06-2023 Home L * 9.85 70 75 1 244 ( 11- 20) Idaho St -9.66 4.66
26 02-09-2023 Home W * 38.35 77 55 1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento 18.84 3.16
27 02-11-2023 Home L * 14.04 87 88 1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St -5.47 4.47
28 02-16-2023 Away L * 11.44 55 72 1 126 ( 22- 9) E Washington -8.07 -8.93
29 02-18-2023 Away W * 40.74 72 50 1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho 21.23 0.77
30 02-25-2023 Away W * 25.26 85 82 1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado 5.75 -2.75
31 02-27-2023 Home L * 16.66 89 90 1 1 198 ( 17- 14) Weber St -2.84 1.84
32 03-04-2023 Neutral W * 26.36 87 76 1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho 6.85 4.15
33 03/05/2023 Neutral * 1 126 ( 22- 9) E Washington -5.83
Averages 19.51 73.1 74.3
Best game: 40.74 = 22 point win over Idaho
Worst game: -4.40 = 26 point loss to Idaho St
Team stdev: 9.99